top of page

NBA Over/Under Regular Season Wins 

Indiana Pacers - 47.5 wins

October 19, 2024

Performance vs. O/U Line Over Last 10 Years (excluding shortened '19-'20 season): 6-3

The Case for the Over

​

They won 47 games last year, brought back essentially the same team, and will have Pascal Siakam for a full season after trading for him mid-way through last season, and played really well after obtaining him. 
 

They are also just a hard team to deal with in the regular season. They are well-coached, and can run you out of the building on any given night. They have pretty good depth, and should be able to withstand injuries during the regular season. 
 

If Tyrese Haliburton is healthy, he could just be so awesome, like he was in the early parts of last season that he pushes this team near 50 wins. 

​

The Case for the Under

 

Will their defense just hold them back? They were 24th in defense last year, and it’s unclear how they will be much better this year. 
 

The East might have just gotten better around them. Subjectively, there are six teams (five pretty definitively) I like more than them, and a 7 seed rarely wins this many games. 
 

After a surprisingly successful season last year, teams might be more prepared for them this year. Are they getting overvalued for their conference finals run, which included getting some injury look from their first two opponents? 
 

Are we sure their offense is that good? They were 2nd in offense last year, and it may be hard to repeat that level of success on offense. 

​

Conclusion

​

​I was really wrong about this team last year. I didn’t think they would be good at all, and they were a legitimate playoff team. They could prove me wrong again, but I just don’t quite believe in this team to confidently pick them to win close to 50 games, so I like the under. 

bottom of page