The Case for the Over

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They won 46 games last year, and arguably got better just by replacing Klay Thompson with De’Anthony Melton, who is a more well-rounded player at this stage of his career when healthy, not to mention the additions of Kyle Anderson and Buddy Hield. They have several young players in Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, and Trayce Jackson-Davis that are likely to get better. Andrew Wiggins could also have a bounce back year after family issues and distractions the last couple season. 

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Just a lot of solid depth overall, and can withstand injuries, which is key for winning a bunch of regular season games. I don’t really see them being sellers, and could even make a move to improve. They were exploring a trade for Lauri Markkanen in the offseason, evidencing that they are trying to win now. 

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The Case for the Under

 

Steph Curry and Draymond Green could be regression candidates at their ages. Their offense is heavily reliant on Curry, and if he misses a significant chunk of games, they will be in serious trouble offensively trying to create good looks. 

They might miss Thompson more than I think, especially if De'Anthony Melton continues to struggle with health like he has in recent seasons. 

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Conclusion

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​I overall just really like this team. They are deep, with different lineup combinations and players that are solid on both ends of the court. It’s possible that they just don’t have the top end talent anymore to hit this over, but I think they will be good enough to.