Last updated: 9/30/2019
Last updated: 9/30/2019
Last updated: 9/30/2019
NBA Over/Under Regular Season Wins
Brooklyn Nets - 19.5 wins
October 19, 2024
Performance vs. O/U Line Over Last 10 Years (excluding shortened '19-'20 season): 2-7
The Case for the Over
The Nets’ talent is certainly better than this number, with guys like Cam Johnson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Bojan Bogdanovic, and Dennis Schroder, along with rising young players like Cam Johnson and Nic Claxton. They had the point differential of a 34-win team last year. Are they going to be that much worse?
After getting absolutely nothing last year, maybe Ben Simmons can give them some level of play this year, even if it’s not the All-Star type of play we saw in his prime.
We haven’t seen any line this low in a long time. Are the Nets really the worst team going into a season in a decade or so? Everyone might be overreacting to an anomalous year last season when the bottom teams were insanely bad.
The Case for the Under
They are clearly moving into a rebuild, shown by prioritizing getting their own draft pick back from Houston before trading Mikal Bridges to the Knicks. The messaging is that they are going into a rebuild, and they haven’t been bad in recent years and need to show improvement, like some other bad teams.
Could trade a bunch of the guys that I mentioned before, and may end up giving minutes to a lot of unproven guys that may not contribute to winning.
Their offense could really struggle. Cam Thomas is a talented scorer, but he is overmatched as the #1 option offensively, and the rest of their roster might be overmatched in their respective roles too.
Conclusion
The Nets are clearly a better team on paper than this line. The question is - how many minutes will those talented players actually play? Even if they trade a lot of their veterans mid-season, similar to what the Utah Jazz have done the past two seasons, they may have banked enough wins to hit 20+ wins, so I like the over here.