Last updated: 9/30/2019
Last updated: 9/30/2019
Last updated: 9/30/2019
2025 Free Agents - Kevin Porter Jr.
Kevin Porter Jr. has had a really up-and-down career. Remember when he had an arguably better rookie year than Darius Garland? It wasn't long after that that Porter was traded to Houston for essentially nothing, and he had a decent season for the struggling Rockets in '21-'22, starting every game and posting decent efficiency numbers. He even earned a fairly lucrative extension, but it was lightly guaranteed and Porter was waived before getting much of that money. He had some off-court issues that essentially kept him out of the league in '23-'24. He actually had a decent '24-'25 season, particularly after being traded to Milwaukee, as he got regular minutes, shot well, and had some big scoring games. Porter's efficiency numbers were really bad with the Clippers in '24-'25 (48% true shooting), but pretty good with the Bucks (62% true shooting). He also hit 41% from three with Milwaukee after only hitting 24% with the Clippers. He's a career 35% shooter from outside, so it's likely he would be somewhere around there going forward, although that includes a solid number of tough off-the-dribble looks. He's not very effective from midrange despite taking a lot of attempts from there, which hurts his efficiency. From a playmaking perspecctive, Porter's six assists per game that he averaged during the last two seasons in Houston is okay, but not great considering he started at point guard, a role I wouldn't expect him to continue as he progresses through his career. However, it's still unclear what his best role is going forward, as he's not good enough to be on-ball all the time, but hasn't shown much off-ball effectiveness either. The Rockets were last in defense in '21-'22 and second to last in '22-'23, and while that doesn't all fall on Porter, he certainly contributed to their struggles. He doesn't give much effort on that end, and overall just isn't someone that you expect to be a positive contributor in that area. Where he falls on the spectrum between "okay" and "unplayable when the games matter most" will be a big factor in how his career plays out. He didn't show much in '24-'25 to evidence any significant improvement either. To me, Porter is one of the players that obviously has talent, but is not someone I would want on my team. I just don't think he does enough to contribute to winning, isn't good enough to be a primary or even secondary creator, and doesn't have the type of game that can make him a good role player. And that's without all the off-court issues. He was able to provide the Bucks with some solid play late in the seasons, so he may stick around a bit, but he certainly still needs to prove he can contribute to winning.
Summary
Porter has a $2.7 million player option for 2025-2026, and if he declines that option he will be an unrestricted free agent with a $2.3 million cap hold and Non-Bird Rights. Due to the increase in the salary cap being fairly high, his minimum salary for '25-'26 is slightly above what his player option amount is for, so he should likely opt out, unless he doesn't think he can get a fully-guaranteed minimum contract as a free agent. Additionally, if he re-signs with Milwaukee on a one-year minimum contract, his cap hit will only be $2.3 million instead of $2.7 million, so him re-signing instead of opting in is mutually beneficial. If Porter opts for free agency, the Bucks will be somewhat limited in their means of re-signing him. Since they will only have his Non-Bird Rights, the most they could offer him using the Non-Bird Exception is a contract starting at $3.4 million. Alternatively, the Bucks could re-sign Porter using their MLE or BAE (if available) if he demands more than $3.4 million. Other teams will have multiple ways to sign Porter as even teams without cap space could likely use any of the Non-Taxpayer MLE, Room MLE or possibly even the Taxpayer MLE or Bi-Annual Exception to sign him. Since he signed a minimum contract in 2024, teams will hope to get him at the minimum in 2025 too.
Cap Considerations
Alec Burks (1 year minimum, 2024) Talen Horton-Tucker (1 year minimum, non-guaranteed, 2024) Spencer Dinwiddie (1 year minimum, 2024)