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Summary

After a scorching '18-'19 season in which Forbes was one of the most efficient scorers in the league (93rd percentile for his position in points per shot attempt, accordingly to Cleaning the Glass), Forbes came down to Earth a little bit this past season. Forbes's three point percentage dropped from 43% in '18-'19 to 39% in '19-'20, which is still well above-average.

 

Forbes's efficiency is benefited by the majority of his attempts coming from three, but it does make him a bit one-dimensional. Despite his shooting ability, Forbes is hindered by his size, which limits his defensive ability and his offensive potential to be more than a shooter.

 

While Forbes doesn't make a ton of mistakes, suggested by his low turnover rate, he also doesn't make a lot of plays for others. Forbes is a solid backup guard, and should see a nice pay increase after free agency.

Cap Considerations

Forbes will be an unrestricted free agent with a $5.5 million cap hold and full Bird rights. If DeMar DeRozan opts out and leaves in free agency, the Spurs may renounce Forbes in order to remove his cap hold and maximize their cap space.

 

If Forbes stays and the Spurs operate over the cap, retaining Forbes would come at no opportunity cost, since removing his cap hold would not free up any cap space. If Forbes is brought back by the Spurs on a multi-year contract, they should frontload his contract as much as possible, while still avoiding the luxury tax.

 

Teams other than the Spurs will have multiple ways to sign Forbes, as even teams without cap space could possibly use any of the Non-Taxpayer, Taxpayer, or possibly even the Room Mid-Level Exception to sign him. 

Potential Teams: Spurs, 76ers, Hawks, Suns, Wizards

Predicted Contract: 2-year, $12 million with the Spurs

Actual Contract: 2-year, $3.7 million (player option) with the Bucks

Forbes only got a minimum contract with the Bucks, but at least got a player option in case he improves his value this season.

Last updated: 12/31/2020

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